Geology, geography and global energy

Scientific and Technical Journal

Forecasting as a basis for agricultural land use analysis

2022. №2, pp. 31-38

Tkachuk Oksana A. - РЎandidate of Sciences (Рђgricult), Associate Professor, Penza State Agrarian University, Penza, Russia

Efremova Ekaterina V. - РЎandidate of Sciences (Рђgricult), Associate Professor, Penza State Agrarian University, Penza, Russia

Bogomazov Sergey V. - РЎandidate of Sciences (Рђgricult), Associate Professor, Penza State Agrarian University, Penza, Russia

Lyandenburskaya Alena V. - Senior Lecturer, Penza State Agrarian University, Penza, Russia

Levin Alexander A. - Senior Lecturer, Penza State Agrarian University, Penza, Russia

Dyakina Alexandra V. - Assistant, Penza State Agrarian University, Penza, Russia

He work presents a consolidated analysis of the land fund of the Lopatinsky district of the Penza region. Data on agricultural lands for 2017-2020 are given. The forecast is based on the extrapolation method. The essence of the method is to study the features of the development of processes in the past and transfer them to the future. As a result of the study, forecast values of the area of agricultural land of the Lopatinsky district of the Penza region for 2025-2035 were obtained.

Key words: agricultural land, forecasting, land type, land area, land balance, extrapolation method

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