Geology, geography and global energy

Scientific and Technical Journal

Main geological and ecological forecasting river risks of the North-West Caucasus

2018. №3, pp. 201-207

Panina O.V. - C.Sc. in Geology and Mineralogy, Associate Professor, Kuban State University, 149 Stavropolskaya st., Krasnodar, 350040, Russian Federation, panina_olga@inbox.ru

Dontsova O.L. - РЎ.Sc. in Geography, Associate Professor, Kuban State University, 149 Stavropolskaya st., Krasnodar, 350040, Russian Federation, doncovaol@mail.ru

The main problems facing the analysis of mudflow hazard are considered in the article, which are reduced to the establishment of the main factors leading to the formation of mudflows, the obtaining of data from the observed processes both qualitatively and quantitatively, and also on the basis of the found regularities, the development of methods for the development of processes and their forecast. Several stages of research have been determined at each site, an analysis has been made of the nature of quaternary formations, since they are the main source of mudflow activity. The study of modern maps Google maps and Google Earth aerial photographs was carried out for the location of elements of the relief in space and obtaining basic information about the susceptibility of the territory to mudflow phenomena at the present time. A forecast and an assessment of the risk of mudflow hazard of the study area are carried out.

Key words: селевые явления, маршрутные наблюдения, сравнительный анализ, математические, теоретические и численные методы, оценка риска, идентификация источника селевой опасности, селевой риск, селевая опасность, оценка степени уязвимости, защищенности, mudflow phen

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